Hello race fans! As predicted, it’s been a soggy weekend at Indy with all track time being cancelled so far. The Xfinity race is rescheduled for Monday morning and the Cup race has been moved up an hour to provide more time to get in the race Sunday. With no practice or qualifying, it’s an odd week to handicap. Track history and current form is all you have to go off of. Track position is important at Indy and getting those guys starting at the front may be key. However if they don’t have a strong car and they fall back quickly, it could be a long day as they try to find the speed they need to contend. Again, it’s an odd week and many unknowns heading into race day. But here’s this week’s Made, Fade, & Trade.
Kyle Busch $11,700: I think the debate comes down to Busch and Harvick here. I’m going to save the $500 and take Busch. He will benefit from starting on the pole and is likely to lead laps early. His success here was mentioned in the race preview Friday with 2 wins and 2 runner ups in his L6 races here. He was also in great position to win another last year before getting caught up with Truex. I expect another strong day with laps led and contending for a win out of Busch.
Kurt Busch $8,800: Not great success at Indy. He’s only finished in the T15 once in his L4 races at this track. He’s starting 4th and although he’ll have track position early, in order to return the value in this tier he’ll have to maintain that position and finish T5. I don’t see that happening this weekend so with the expectation of negative place diff points, this is a time to pivot off of Kurt.
From Jamie McMurray $7,900 to Daniel Suarez $7,500: Battle of two guys with mid pack starting positions. Suarez and McMurray are starting 20th and 21st, which gives them place diff potential, so I expect both to get attention at this price level. McMurray has been decent at Indy recently, with T20s in each of his L4 races. But that hasn’t been the type of performances similar to his win back in 2010. Suarez ran his inaugural race at Indy last year, starting 15th and finishing 7th. Being with JGR (for the time being) at Indy can only benefit Suarez and despite the small sample size, his ceiling is higher. I expect Suarez to finish in front of McMurray, accumulating more place differential points and outscoring him on DK.
Good luck to everyone this weekend! Be sure to check out for any matchup plays @SDBoyle1 and I might be adding on race day. Let’s hope we get some Sunday racing in!